Thursday, April 8, 2010

SEC- Florida

Tim Tebow, QB, Sr- I think it’s plain and simple that Tebow is not and will never be an NFL QB. He just completely loses it once his primary and secondary reads are gone, and that wind up release is a major issue. If he goes any higher than the 4th round, it’s a waste of a pick and that team will be sorry. I’m tired of people giving him a break for being a great human being. I get that, and there is no doubting this kid is saint-like in everyday life, but this is one of the biggest businesses in the world. You don’t hire a CEO for a Fortune 500 company based on their personality. You hire them based on their ability to run your company. That’s the way things need to be looked at here, and that is strictly a commentary on what he can do on the field. If you get wrapped up with his off the field endeavors, you are wasting your pick on a player who could potentially be a starter.

Aaron Hernandez, TE, Jr- I don’t think I once saw him line up in a three-point stance this entire game. While there is not one doubt Hernandez is an offensive weapon, he has to go to the right system, and not all teams are going to be willing to spend a high second round pick on a one-dimensional player. Experts will rag on guys who are only pass rush specialists, and I think the same needs to go for Hernandez here. He’s a one dimensional pass catcher. He’s a good one, but I would rather have a player who is slightly better at blocking that I can rely on in more than one phase of the game. I can say this, Hernandez runs the TE screen better than any other TE I’ve seen. He sells the action well, and comes back to the line cleanly. He’s good in space with the ball in his hands, and this is what a team will have to endeavor to do with him.

Riley Cooper, WR, Sr- He can return kicks, and is a tough kid, but I don’t see him as more than a possession receiver and blocker. I don’t think he has the speed or strength to separate or get away from coverage, but he’s a tough slot receiver who will go over the middle. What makes reading his value much harder is that Tebow is not a passer, so Riley may end up being a better pro than college athelete.

Jeff Demps, RB, Sr- Demps is all speed, and game changing speed at that. He goes down far too easy to the first contact though, which is frustrating. He’s a change of pace back and return man, but don’t buy into the hype of him being like Darren Sproles. Sproles is a much better runner with big legs, and Demps does not have his size.

Chris Rainey, RB, Jr- Rainey’s a bit more physical than Demps, but he’s still a very poor between the tackles runner. I question if he will be effective outside of this type of offense. Rainey showed good hands in the passing game, and I think he may be a bit more valuable because of this. I think he’d be a lot like Dexter McCluster this year, and with some added strength and size, he could be a nice situational player.

Maurkice Pouncey, OC, Jr- I’m not as sold on Pouncey as the other experts are. I think coming out early was a smart idea since there are limited OC’s in this draft that could potentially start at the next level, and Pouncey is one of them. He has a bit of a tendency to get over extended with his weight too far forward, but he has good arm length, can get movement in the run game, and is athletic enough to slide around and help in pass coverage. The biggest thing that turns me off of Pouncey is his demeanor. On too many plays this year I saw him stop early with his blocks or just stand around the pile. A nasty attitude is hard to teach, so I worry that this may affect him at the next level. To me, the center position has a proud tradition of being the nastiest player on the entire OL, and Pouncey is missing that. He has the talent to start right away though, so I doubt he makes it out of the first round, even though I’d feel better with the value in the early 2nd.

Mike Pouncey, RG, Jr- This Pouncey twin made the right decision to come back. He needs to get bigger in the backside, and I think he’d be smart to move to center like his brother did this year as that may be his best fit in the NFL. He struggles a bit with athletic guys underneath, but once he locks on he can get DTs on skates and move them down the field. The plus side to him is he has the nastiness his brother doesn’t and he is always finishing his blocks. He’s less athletic and may have less upside, but I like his make up better. If he can show improved technique with sinking his hips and staying balanced, he could move up considerably next season.

Brandon Spikes, MLB, Sr- It’s funny to see the people like Kiper and McShay who were saying Spikes was a first rounder earlier now start to sour on this. His instincts just don’t seem to have improved for a fourth year player. Spikes still does not use his hands to shed blocks. He runs into plays with his head down and shoulder first into blocks. His hips are really tight, and he does not do well in zone coverage. I see him more as a compliment to another well rounded ILB in a 3-4 than manning the middle by himself. Someone will probably take him in the late second round, but I don’t think he will ever develop into an impact player.

Ryan Stamper, OLB, Sr- Stamper is going to be a special teams ace. He may never be a regular contributor for a defense but he’s a guy I want on my roster because of his versatility and ability to help in the third phase of the game.

Carlos Dunlap, DE, Jr- LAZY player. Dunlap’s all potential, and it’s a dirty word in his case. Dunlap is such an enigma in this draft that I would stay far away from him. I can’t say it enough but he is the dictionary definition of ‘boom or bust’ prospect. He looks like a terror at times off the edge, showing a nice mix of speed and power moves, but then on the next few plays he’ll be 15 yards down the field with a less talented tackle putting him on skates. He’s a liability in the run game, and I have to agree with earlier film study that he may make a better three-technique tackle than a true end. He’s going to need a very strict coach who will make him be accountable, and he’s a major risk to whoever decides to pick him. He will be the topic of many war room arguments come draft day.

Jermaine Cunningham, DE/OLB, Sr- Cunningham has the pass rush ability to get him drafted in the second round, but his inability to hold the point in the run game will push him down. He absolutely will need to make the move to a 3-4, unless he goes to a team like the Colts who value speed over size and strength. I like him though as he’s a solid player who gives a great effort and has talent to work with.

Joe Haden, CB, Jr- Joe Haden can thank Derrell Revis for his draft windfall. Haden is absolutely what I would call a shut down CB and he could easily be one of the 3-5 best at the position as a rookie. It’s a bold statement but I absolutely believe in it. I never once saw him out of position, and when plays were made on him they were simply great throws he could do nothing about. Great corners are so rare that you have to take them when they are there. He’s great in run coverage, he attacks the line hard, he has very smooth hips, good deep speed, and he tracks the ball very well for a DB. If he makes it out of the top ten picks I will be shocked, and I’d be willing to offer up a draft day bounty for that 6th pick to grab him if I’m a team like the 49ers (who have two first rounders and would be a great fit for Haden).

Major Wright, S, Jr- I’m interested to see what 40 time Wright runs as he’s one of those guys who may not have great long speed but has absolutely elite burst. His 10-yard closing speed to the receiver once they have the ball is elite. Even though he can absolutely lay the wood in the run game, he’s not great in this phase of the game. He’s not an in the box type who comes up hard to fill. He’s more of a secondary line of defense who tackles well and can really knock balls out of receiver’s hands with big shots. He probably made the overall correct decision to come out early, but he could slip further than he potentially could have gone if he stayed an extra year in college. If you can get this guy in the late second or early third, he could be an absolute steal.

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